Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000137 0.000152 0.000169 0.000188 0.000210 0.000233 0.000260
2025-09-14 0.000113 0.000134 0.000157 0.000186 0.000220 0.000260 0.000308
2025-09-21 0.000098 0.000123 0.000152 0.000189 0.000236 0.000293 0.000366
2025-09-28 0.000086 0.000113 0.000146 0.000190 0.000249 0.000322 0.000423
2025-10-05 0.000076 0.000103 0.000139 0.000189 0.000257 0.000348 0.000477
2025-10-12 0.000069 0.000098 0.000137 0.000193 0.000273 0.000383 0.000546
2025-10-19 0.000063 0.000092 0.000132 0.000193 0.000283 0.000411 0.000607
2025-10-26 0.000057 0.000086 0.000128 0.000194 0.000293 0.000438 0.000670
2025-11-02 0.000052 0.000080 0.000123 0.000192 0.000299 0.000460 0.000725
2025-11-09 0.000048 0.000077 0.000121 0.000193 0.000309 0.000490 0.000796
2025-11-16 0.000044 0.000072 0.000116 0.000190 0.000313 0.000510 0.000851
2025-11-23 0.000040 0.000068 0.000112 0.000189 0.000320 0.000534 0.000915
2025-11-30 0.000038 0.000065 0.000110 0.000189 0.000328 0.000562 0.000989
2025-12-07 0.000035 0.000061 0.000106 0.000188 0.000333 0.000585 0.001057
2025-12-14 0.000033 0.000059 0.000105 0.000191 0.000347 0.000624 0.001156
2025-12-21 0.000031 0.000057 0.000103 0.000192 0.000358 0.000658 0.001249
2025-12-28 0.000029 0.000054 0.000101 0.000191 0.000364 0.000684 0.001329
2026-01-04 0.000027 0.000053 0.000101 0.000195 0.000380 0.000730 0.001452
2026-01-11 0.000026 0.000051 0.000099 0.000195 0.000389 0.000763 0.001551
2026-01-18 0.000024 0.000049 0.000097 0.000195 0.000397 0.000795 0.001653
2026-01-25 0.000023 0.000047 0.000094 0.000193 0.000401 0.000819 0.001737
2026-02-01 0.000022 0.000045 0.000093 0.000195 0.000412 0.000857 0.001856
2026-02-08 0.000020 0.000043 0.000090 0.000192 0.000414 0.000878 0.001940